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The Muttley Post's avatar

Hi Tom. I’ve been following you for a while and I wanted to publicly congratulate you because I consider you a writer of rare intelligence and ability. The article is wonderful, as usual. I’d like to offer my humble opinion on the topic.

Human beings can also be seen as machines, and every machine, based on what it can give, produces on average a certain kind of behavior. Therefore, mediocrity is not something to be blamed in itself; it is part of the very nature of things. A person gives what they can give according to how they were designed by their sociocultural environment and by biological factors—there’s little that can be done about that. A person can give more only if, by pure chance, they encounter another system (another person) that functions at a higher level, and contact with it elevates them.

Although there is some room for the will to escape mediocrity by striving to give one’s best, the margins for maneuver are very limited… I know, it’s sad. The personal development gurus won’t agree, but it’s better to keep one’s feet on the ground, as I do, than to delude oneself with things that don’t exist. Even the idea of true free will is material for the deluded. For this reason, we will never truly know how things will turn out.

Interaction with artificial intelligence could also lead us to elevate ourselves in some way, even though, like you, I look with suspicion at the idea of not making the effort to think autonomously and not risking falling. The truth is that no one knows how it will end, and the most likely outcome is that what happens will have nothing to do with what everyone predicts.

The biggest paradox I see right now is that, to use artificial intelligence, the fundamental prerequisite is being intelligent. But here a problem clearly arises: if using artificial intelligence makes us less intelligent, what happens then?

The reality I see is a bright future. Let’s be honest: how much intelligence really circulates in the world? Not to mention wisdom… my God, better not even think about it. Most people who, instead of thinking, usually just fart, will at least have an intelligent “friend” to interact with. Maybe they’ll be able to slightly correct the way they think, speak, or act, and make more intelligent choices—taking informed decisions instead of relying on beliefs, mythical gods, and various influences. They will trust their personal friend, but fortunately it won’t be a fool like the ones they usually follow in their social circle; it will truly be something intelligent.

And let’s think about politicians, who deal every day with decisions involving complex systems. Instead of governing based on their “I believe,” “I think” (you know that politicians never say anything that is scientifically grounded or based on real experience—they govern based on the illusion of knowing something), at least they will be able to make informed decisions supported by an intelligence that, for the first time in history, will be able to read this complexity and instantly understand the external consequences of local choices so dear to politicians.

Just imagine a politician who sees oil in a country and whose first thought is a caveman thought: drill, drill… conquer… steal… kill… At least there will be someone who tells him: friend, wait a moment—the best choice might not be the same one used in prehistoric times.

That said, let’s stay calm. I think a future of widespread intelligence awaits us all. Whether it will be purely artificial or a true mix of values, we cannot know.

Bill Reilly's avatar

Tom- you know we have kindred spirits and I have always followed your posts with optimistic curiosity. But this might be your most powerful message! I tell my kids that the tool of LLM is incredibly powerful, but please don’t get sucked into everything you view. Take it all with a thought process to learn, but question, “is this actually good?”…not sure they listen but the slow drip of reality is vital!!

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